Assignment First

英国代写:新西兰通货膨胀的经济问题研究

本研究的目的是分析近十年来新西兰经济所面临的通货膨胀的宏观经济问题。为了进行这一分析,将参考一种宏观经济理论,以便批判性地分析和评价新西兰储备银行在处理通货膨胀问题时所使用的政策。将回答以下研究问题:

目前新西兰制定的通货膨胀政策有多有效,有什么可以改进的吗?如果是,提供足够的建议。

中国消费者价格指数(cpi)同比上涨0.4%,央行和经济学家对cpi涨幅的预测有所偏差。与央行和经济学家在第二季度的预测相比,新西兰的通货膨胀较弱,降息的可能性增加(Castelnuovo&Surico, 2010)。因此,货币下跌反映了下列事实:

消费者价格指数(cpi)同比上涨0.4%。

与16位经济学家0.5%的预测中值相比,这一增幅要小一些。

自第一季度上涨0.2%以来,房价最终上涨0.4%。

经济学家曾预计,一季度增幅为0.5%。


英国代写 :新西兰通货膨胀的经济问题研究

在降息的同时,通货膨胀率却低于整体预期,这说明新西兰央行可能会从一方面继续对房地产行业感到担忧。此外,还有关于银行在金融危机期间倒闭的轶事证据支持这些经验和理论结果(Hassan al – tamimi et al., 2007)。事实上,OOCC和FDIC关于银行破产原因的官方报告本质上具有指示性,它明确说明了银行破产是由信贷风险和流动性风险共同作用造成的。UBS的融资框架和资产负债表管理相关的方法在创造UBS的次级风险敞口方面做出了重要贡献(Huang et al., 2009)。然而,银行却失败了,甚至没有考虑区分非流动资产和流动资产以及各自期限的融资。因此,与资产相关的信用风险被忽略了。


英国代写 :新西兰通货膨胀的经济问题研究

The objective of this research is to conduct an analysis of the macroeconomic issue of inflation as faced in the economy of New Zealand since the past ten years. For the purpose of this analysis, there will be reference of a macroeconomic theory for critically analysing and evaluating the policy used by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in dealing with the issue of inflation. The following research questions will be answered:

How effective is the current inflation policy set by New Zealand and can any improvement be made? If yes, provide adequate recommendations.

The price index of consumers has been rising at 0.4 per cent on annual basis, with forecasts of gain misses from central bank and economists. The inflation of New Zealand had been weaker in comparison with the forecast of central bank and economists during the second quarter with the increased odds in cutting rate of interest (Castelnuovo&Surico, 2010). As a result, there was a fall of currency depicting the following facts:
The price index of consumers ended up increasing by 0.4 per cent since the earlier year.
The gain had been less in comparison with the median forecast at 0.5 per cent across 16 economists.
The prices ended up rising by 0.4 per cent since the first quarter when there were gains at 0.2 per cent.
There was an expectation from economists with a quarter increases at 0.5 per cent.


英国代写 :新西兰通货膨胀的经济问题研究

While cutting off the rates of interest, the inflation rate is being weaker than the overall expectation depicts that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may be continuously worrisome in the housing industry from one side. In addition, there are anecdotal evidences about the failures of bank during the financial crisis supporting these empirical and theoretical results (Hassan Al-Tamimi et al., 2007). As a matter of fact being indicative by nature, official reporting on OOCC and FDIC regarding the reasons for failures of bank provides an explicit statement that the failure took place due to the combined effect of credit risks and liquidity risks. Funding framework of UBS and approach related to management of balance sheet made significant contributions in creating the subprime exposure of UBS (Huang et al., 2009). However, the bank failed in, and even did not consider differentiating between illiquid and liquid assets and the funding of respective term. Thereby, credit risks related to the assets had been disregarded.